Lentigione vs Pistoiese: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone DGroup D · Matchday 31Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Immergas Stadium - Levantini, Lentigione
The Footlab AI model makes Pistoiese the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Lentigione. The most likely score is 1-1. If Pistoiese wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,527 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lentigione vs Pistoiese?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Lentigione (1,871) and Pistoiese (1,941).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lentigione vs Pistoiese
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lentigione
Not enough data to predict the Lentigione lineup.
Pistoiese
Not enough data to predict the Pistoiese lineup.
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 05:18 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lentigione have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Pistoiese have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Arconatese(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Sant'Angelo(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Crema(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Solbiatese(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Pontedera(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Pro Patria(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Castellanzese(home) | 4-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Cittadella Vis Modena(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Pavia(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Correggese(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Lentigione win, 3 draws, 2 Pistoiese wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2026 | Lentigione 1-1 Pistoiese | Serie D - Girone D |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Pistoiese 1-0 Lentigione | Serie D - Girone D |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Pistoiese 1-1 Lentigione | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Lentigione 0-0 Pistoiese | Serie D - Girone D |
| Dec 20, 2023 | Pistoiese 0-3 Lentigione | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Pistoiese 1-0 Lentigione | Serie D - Girone D |
Last archived meeting: Lentigione vs Pistoiese on Mar 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lentigione score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Pistoiese score 2.0 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lentigione | 1.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Pistoiese | 2.0 | 0.6 | 10 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lentigione sit 2nd in Serie D - Girone D (24 points from 11 matches) and Pistoiese sit 1st (28 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pistoiese | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 5 | 28 |
| 2 | Lentigione | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 10 | 24 |
A question about Lentigione vs Pistoiese?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lentigione vs Pistoiese?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pistoiese the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Lentigione.
- Where and when is Lentigione vs Pistoiese played?
- Lentigione vs Pistoiese is played on April 11, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Immergas Stadium - Levantini, in the Serie D - Girone D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.