Pro Sesto vs Castellanzese: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 31Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Ernesto Breda, Sesto San Giovanni
The Footlab AI model makes Pro Sesto the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Castellanzese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Pro Sesto wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,920 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pro Sesto vs Castellanzese?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Pro Sesto (1,798) and Castellanzese (1,753).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pro Sesto vs Castellanzese
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pro Sesto
Not enough data to predict the Pro Sesto lineup.
Castellanzese
Not enough data to predict the Castellanzese lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 09:39 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pro Sesto have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Castellanzese have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Varesina(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Solbiatese(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Arconatese(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Oltrepò(home) | 6-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Crema(away) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Correggese(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Arconatese(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sant'Angelo(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Crema(home) | 4-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Solbiatese(away) | 4-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Pro Sesto win, 1 draw, 2 Castellanzese wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | Pro Sesto 1-1 Castellanzese | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Castellanzese 1-0 Pro Sesto | Serie D - Girone B |
| Feb 9, 2020 | Castellanzese 2-1 Pro Sesto | Serie D - Girone B |
| Oct 5, 2019 | Pro Sesto 1-0 Castellanzese | Serie D - Girone B |
Last archived meeting: Pro Sesto vs Castellanzese on Jan 11, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Pro Sesto score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Castellanzese score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pro Sesto | 1.7 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Castellanzese | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pro Sesto sit 4th in Serie D - Girone D (15 points from 8 matches) and Castellanzese sit 5th (15 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pro Sesto | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 15 |
| 5 | Castellanzese | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | 15 |
A question about Pro Sesto vs Castellanzese?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pro Sesto vs Castellanzese?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pro Sesto the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Castellanzese.
- Where and when is Pro Sesto vs Castellanzese played?
- Pro Sesto vs Castellanzese is played on April 11, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Ernesto Breda, in the Serie D - Girone D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.