Crema vs Varesina: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 31Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Voltini, Crema
The Footlab AI model makes Varesina the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Crema. The most likely score is 1-1. If Varesina wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,573 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Crema vs Varesina?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Crema (1,672) and Varesina (1,745).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Crema vs Varesina
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Crema
Not enough data to predict the Crema lineup.
Varesina
Not enough data to predict the Varesina lineup.
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 11:22 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Crema have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Varesina have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Lentigione(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Pontedera(home) | 4-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Coriano(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Città di Varese(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Castellanzese(away) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Castellanzese(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Pro Sesto(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Pavia(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Pro Patria(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | USD Casatese(away) | 2-4 | Serie D - Girone D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Crema wins, 1 draw, 3 Varesina wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | Crema 2-2 Varesina | Serie D - Girone B |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Varesina 5-2 Crema | Serie D - Girone B |
| Mar 24, 2024 | Varesina 2-0 Crema | Serie D - Girone B |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Crema 0-1 Varesina | Serie D - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Crema score 1.0 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Varesina score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crema | 1.0 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Varesina | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Crema sit 13th in Serie D - Girone D (8 points from 8 matches) and Varesina sit 14th (7 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Crema | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 8 |
| 14 | Varesina | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 7 |
A question about Crema vs Varesina?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Crema vs Varesina?
- The Footlab AI model makes Varesina the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Crema.
- Where and when is Crema vs Varesina played?
- Crema vs Varesina is played on April 11, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Giuseppe Voltini, in the Serie D - Girone D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.