Match

Leon Monza e Brianza vs Real Calepina: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 32Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)

Leon Monza e BrianzaReal Calepina

The Footlab model makes Leon Monza e Brianza the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Real Calepina. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Leon Monza e Brianza vs Real Calepina?

A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Leon Monza e Brianza (1,712) and Real Calepina (1,690).

Leon Monza e Brianza win43 %
Draw27 %
Real Calepina win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leon Monza e Brianza have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Real Calepina have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Leon Monza e Brianza
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026USD Casatese(away)0-4Serie D - Girone B
May 3, 2026USD Casatese(away)0-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 26, 2026Chievo(home)2-2Serie D - Girone B
Apr 19, 2026Scanzorosciate(away)0-0Serie D - Girone B
Apr 12, 2026Castellanzese(away)0-1Serie D - Girone B
Real Calepina
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Scanzorosciate(home)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 26, 2026Sondrio(away)1-5Serie D - Girone B
Apr 19, 2026Folgore Caratese(away)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 12, 2026Breno(home)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 8, 2026Milan II(home)1-0Serie D - Girone B

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 4 Leon Monza e Brianza win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Real Calepina win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 22, 2026Real Calepina 1-2 Leon Monza e BrianzaSerie D - Girone B
Oct 19, 2025Leon Monza e Brianza 2-0 Real CalepinaSerie D - Girone B
Apr 10, 2022Leon Monza e Brianza 4-3 Real CalepinaSerie D - Girone B
Nov 28, 2021Real Calepina 0-1 Leon Monza e BrianzaSerie D - Girone B

Last archived meeting: Real Calepina vs Leon Monza e Brianza on Feb 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Leon Monza e Brianza score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Real Calepina score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Leon Monza e Brianza1.41.347/159/15
Real Calepina1.11.258/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Leon Monza e Brianza sit 5th in Serie D - Girone B (53 points from 34 matches) and Real Calepina sit 12th (42 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Leon Monza e Brianza3414119443453
12Real Calepina3411914424742

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Leon Monza e Brianza vs Real Calepina?
The Footlab model makes Leon Monza e Brianza the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Real Calepina.
Where and when is Leon Monza e Brianza vs Real Calepina played?
Leon Monza e Brianza vs Real Calepina is played on April 18, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Leon Monza e Brianza and Real Calepina

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