Pavonese vs Piacenza: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 32Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Piacenza the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Pavonese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Piacenza wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pavonese vs Piacenza?
Piacenza starts as the favourite with a 188-point Elo edge (1,883 vs 1,695).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pavonese vs Piacenza
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pavonese
Not enough data to predict the Pavonese lineup.
Piacenza
Not enough data to predict the Piacenza lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 07:34 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 7 matches in all competitions, Pavonese have 3 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats; Piacenza have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Fiorenzuola(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Leon Monza e Brianza(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Virtus Verona(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Tritium(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Caldiero Terme(home) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Fiorenzuola(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Lentigione(away) | 3-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Scanzorosciate(home) | 4-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Real Calepina(home) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Pavonese score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 7; Piacenza score 2.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pavonese | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1 | 3/7 | 3/7 |
| Piacenza | 2.0 | 0.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 7 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pavonese sit 15th in Serie D - Girone B (7 points from 6 matches) and Piacenza sit 5th (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Piacenza | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 11 |
| 15 | Pavonese | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 7 |
A question about Pavonese vs Piacenza?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pavonese vs Piacenza?
- The Footlab AI model makes Piacenza the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Pavonese.
- Where and when is Pavonese vs Piacenza played?
- Pavonese vs Piacenza is played on April 18, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 18, 2027ChievovsCaldiero Terme
- Apr 18, 2027Virtus VeronavsScanzorosciate
- Apr 18, 2027TritiumvsFiorenzuola
- Apr 18, 2027Virtus Ciserano BergamovsPro Palazzolo
- Apr 18, 2027Leon Monza e BrianzavsReal Calepina
- Apr 18, 2027Club MilanovsBrusaporto
- Apr 18, 2027Milan IIvsNibbiano & Valtidone
- Apr 18, 2027Rovato VertovesevsVilla Valle