Tritium vs Fiorenzuola: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 32Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale La Rocca, Trezzo sull'Adda
The Footlab model makes Tritium the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Fiorenzuola. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tritium vs Fiorenzuola?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Tritium (1,549) and Fiorenzuola (1,552).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tritium have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Fiorenzuola have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2024 | Pro Palazzolo(home) | 2-4 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Club Milano(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Desenzano Calvina(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Caravaggio(away) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Arconatese(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brusaporto(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 4, 2025 | Prato(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Tuttocuoio(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Lentigione(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Ravenna(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone D |
How many goals should we expect?
Tritium score 0.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Fiorenzuola score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tritium | 0.7 | 1.6 | 2 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Fiorenzuola | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tritium vs Fiorenzuola?
- The Footlab model makes Tritium the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Fiorenzuola.
- Where and when is Tritium vs Fiorenzuola played?
- Tritium vs Fiorenzuola is played on April 18, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale La Rocca, in the Serie D - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 18, 2027ChievovsCaldiero Terme
- Apr 18, 2027Virtus VeronavsScanzorosciate
- Apr 18, 2027Virtus Ciserano BergamovsPro Palazzolo
- Apr 18, 2027Leon Monza e BrianzavsReal Calepina
- Apr 18, 2027Club MilanovsBrusaporto
- Apr 18, 2027Milan IIvsNibbiano & Valtidone
- Apr 18, 2027Rovato VertovesevsVilla Valle
- Apr 18, 2027PavonesevsPiacenza