Lerumo Lions vs The Bees: prediction and stats
1st DivisionRegular Season - 16Kick-off on January 13, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Olympia Park, Rustenburg, NW
The Footlab model makes Lerumo Lions the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for The Bees. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lerumo Lions vs The Bees?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Lerumo Lions (1,638) and The Bees (1,619).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lerumo Lions have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; The Bees have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Venda FC(away) | 1-1 | 1st Division |
| May 17, 2026 | Black Leopards(home) | 4-0 | 1st Division |
| May 10, 2026 | Midlands Wanderers(away) | 1-1 | 1st Division |
| May 2, 2026 | University of Pretoria(away) | 1-0 | 1st Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Highbury(home) | 0-1 | 1st Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Highbury(home) | 1-2 | 1st Division |
| May 17, 2026 | Kruger United(away) | 2-2 | 1st Division |
| May 10, 2026 | Leicesterfield(home) | 2-1 | 1st Division |
| May 2, 2026 | Milford FC(away) | 1-2 | 1st Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Cape Town City(home) | 0-0 | 1st Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Lerumo Lions win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 The Bees win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | The Bees 1-1 Lerumo Lions | 1st Division |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Lerumo Lions 2-1 The Bees | 1st Division |
Last archived meeting: The Bees vs Lerumo Lions on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lerumo Lions score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; The Bees score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lerumo Lions | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 3/15 |
| The Bees | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lerumo Lions sit 8th in 1st Division (1 points from 1 matches) and The Bees sit 13th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lerumo Lions | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 13 | The Bees | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lerumo Lions vs The Bees?
- The Footlab model makes Lerumo Lions the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for The Bees.
- Where and when is Lerumo Lions vs The Bees played?
- Lerumo Lions vs The Bees is played on January 13, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Olympia Park, in the 1st Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.