Les Herbiers vs Châteaubriant: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group BGroup B - 28Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Massabielle, Les Herbiers
The Footlab AI model makes Les Herbiers the favourite at 56%, against 27% for a draw and 17% for Châteaubriant. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,056 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Les Herbiers vs Châteaubriant?
Les Herbiers starts as the favourite with a 169-point Elo edge (1,877 vs 1,708).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Les Herbiers vs Châteaubriant
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Les Herbiers
4-3-3- 11A. Vincent
- 13R. Denis
- 17A. Fiquet
- 2B. Brélivet
- 9J. Billy
- 8B. Lebas
- 3A. Tégar
- 4M. Lopy
- 10J. Rissonga
- 14Y. Letard
- 1B. Rempp
Châteaubriant
Not enough data to predict the Châteaubriant lineup.
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 08:38 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Les Herbiers have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Châteaubriant have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Stade Briochin(home) | 2-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Le Poiré sur Vie(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Pontivy GSI(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Bayonne(away) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Tarbes(home) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Granville(home) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Saint-Malo(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Stade Briochin(home) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Le Poiré sur Vie(away) | 0-3 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Pontivy GSI(home) | 2-2 | National 2 - Group B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Les Herbiers wins, 0 draws, 2 Châteaubriant wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Les Herbiers 3-0 Châteaubriant | National 2 - Group A |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Châteaubriant 0-2 Les Herbiers | National 2 - Group A |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Les Herbiers 0-1 Châteaubriant | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Châteaubriant 1-2 Les Herbiers | National 2 - Group B |
| Feb 21, 2021 | Les Herbiers 0-1 Châteaubriant | Coupe de France |
| Aug 8, 2020 | Les Herbiers 2-0 Châteaubriant | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Les Herbiers vs Châteaubriant on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Les Herbiers score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Châteaubriant score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Les Herbiers | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Châteaubriant | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Les Herbiers sit 9th in National 2 - Group B (12 points from 9 matches) and Châteaubriant sit 13th (8 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Les Herbiers | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 12 |
| 13 | Châteaubriant | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 8 |
A question about Les Herbiers vs Châteaubriant?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Les Herbiers vs Châteaubriant?
- The Footlab AI model makes Les Herbiers the favourite at 56%, against 27% for a draw and 17% for Châteaubriant.
- Where and when is Les Herbiers vs Châteaubriant played?
- Les Herbiers vs Châteaubriant is played on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Massabielle, in the National 2 - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.