Tarbes vs Saint-Malo: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group BGroup B - 28Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Maurice Trélut 2 - Terrain B, Tarbes
The Footlab AI model makes Saint-Malo the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Tarbes. The most likely score is 1-1. If Saint-Malo wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,597 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tarbes vs Saint-Malo?
Saint-Malo starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,842 vs 1,727).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tarbes vs Saint-Malo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tarbes
4-3-3- 9Y. Fellrath
- 6B. Ait Malek
- 11V. Delanys
- 7Sofiane El Bekri
- 33Alexandre Amorin
- 22M. Cato
- 31A. Ben Aicha
- 2J. Willock
- 4P. Bentayou
- 17Faris Sinare
- 1T. Navaux
Saint-Malo
Not enough data to predict the Saint-Malo lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 04:41 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tarbes have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Saint-Malo have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Chauray(home) | 2-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Avranches(away) | 0-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dinan Léhon(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Les Herbiers(away) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Angoulême(home) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Châteaubriant(home) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Lorient II(away) | 1-3 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Saumur(home) | 2-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Granville(away) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Saint-Colomban Locminé(home) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Tarbes wins, 0 draws, 0 Saint-Malo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2015 | Tarbes 2-1 Saint-Malo | National 2 - Group D |
| Nov 22, 2014 | Saint-Malo 0-1 Tarbes | National 2 - Group D |
How many goals should we expect?
Tarbes score 1.6 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Saint-Malo score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarbes | 1.6 | 0.8 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Saint-Malo | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tarbes sit 7th in National 2 - Group B (12 points from 8 matches) and Saint-Malo sit 8th (12 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Tarbes | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 |
| 8 | Saint-Malo | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 12 |
A question about Tarbes vs Saint-Malo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tarbes vs Saint-Malo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Saint-Malo the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Tarbes.
- Where and when is Tarbes vs Saint-Malo played?
- Tarbes vs Saint-Malo is played on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Maurice Trélut 2 - Terrain B, in the National 2 - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.