Match

Pontivy GSI vs Le Poiré sur Vie: prediction and stats

National 2 - Group BGroup B - 28Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade du Faubourg de Verdun, Pontivy

Pontivy GSILe Poiré sur Vie

The Footlab model makes Pontivy GSI the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Le Poiré sur Vie. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pontivy GSI vs Le Poiré sur Vie?

A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Pontivy GSI (1,744) and Le Poiré sur Vie (1,732).

Pontivy GSI win42 %
Draw28 %
Le Poiré sur Vie win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pontivy GSI have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Le Poiré sur Vie have 11, 2 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pontivy GSI
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Saint-Malo(away)1-1National 2 - Group B
Jul 31, 2026Concarneau(away)1-5Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026Vannes(home)3-2National 3 - Group C
May 9, 2026Vire(away)0-0National 3 - Group C
Apr 25, 2026Ergué-Gaberic(home)3-0National 3 - Group C
Le Poiré sur Vie
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Stade Briochin(away)0-1National 2 - Group B
May 16, 2026Châteauroux II(home)2-0National 3 - Group B
May 9, 2026Nantes II(away)0-2National 3 - Group B
Apr 25, 2026Angers SCO II(home)2-0National 3 - Group B
Apr 18, 2026Vendée Fontenay(away)4-0National 3 - Group B

How many goals should we expect?

Pontivy GSI score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Le Poiré sur Vie score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Pontivy GSI1.71.368/159/15
Le Poiré sur Vie1.70.794/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pontivy GSI sit 7th in National 2 - Group B (1 points from 1 matches) and Le Poiré sur Vie sit 12th (0 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Pontivy GSI1010111
12Le Poiré sur Vie1001010

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pontivy GSI vs Le Poiré sur Vie?
The Footlab model makes Pontivy GSI the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Le Poiré sur Vie.
Where and when is Pontivy GSI vs Le Poiré sur Vie played?
Pontivy GSI vs Le Poiré sur Vie is played on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade du Faubourg de Verdun, in the National 2 - Group B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Pontivy GSI and Le Poiré sur Vie

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