Levante vs Agios Matthaios: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 6Group 6 - 7Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Valencia
The Footlab model makes Levante the favourite at 74%, against 18% for a draw and 8% for Agios Matthaios. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Levante vs Agios Matthaios?
Levante is a heavy favourite: 2,043 Elo points against 1,427 — a 616-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Levante have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Agios Matthaios have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Espanyol(away) | 0-3 | La Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Castellón(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Villarreal(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Albacete(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Al-Qadisiyah FC(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2022 | Asteras Kalirachis(away) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Apr 3, 2022 | Iraklis Ampelokipon(home) | 2-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Mar 30, 2022 | Poseidon Nea Michaniona(home) | 2-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Mar 26, 2022 | Makedonikos Neapolis(away) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Mar 23, 2022 | Lefkimmi(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Levante score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Agios Matthaios score 1.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levante | 1.3 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Agios Matthaios | 1.0 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Levante vs Agios Matthaios?
- The Footlab model makes Levante the favourite at 74%, against 18% for a draw and 8% for Agios Matthaios.
- Where and when is Levante vs Agios Matthaios played?
- Levante vs Agios Matthaios is played on November 8, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.