Lewes vs Three Bridges: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 31Kick-off on February 9, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Dripping Pan, Lewes, East Sussex
The Footlab model makes Three Bridges the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Lewes. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lewes vs Three Bridges?
Three Bridges starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,812 vs 1,690).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lewes have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Three Bridges have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Whyteleafe(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | St Albans City(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Whitehawk(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Enfield Town(home) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Chatham Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Aveley(home) | 1-5 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chatham Town(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dartford(home) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Faversham Town(away) | 2-2 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South East |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Lewes win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Three Bridges win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2022 | Three Bridges 4-0 Lewes | FA Cup |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Lewes 1-1 Three Bridges | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Three Bridges vs Lewes on Sep 20, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Lewes score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Three Bridges score 2.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewes | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Three Bridges | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lewes sit 9th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (7 points from 4 matches) and Three Bridges sit 22nd (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lewes | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| 22 | Three Bridges | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lewes vs Three Bridges?
- The Footlab model makes Three Bridges the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Lewes.
- Where and when is Lewes vs Three Bridges played?
- Lewes vs Three Bridges is played on February 9, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The Dripping Pan, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 8, 2027AveleyvsCheshunt
- Feb 9, 2027LeatherheadvsChatham Town
- Feb 9, 2027Eastbourne BoroughvsCarshalton Athletic
- Feb 9, 2027WhitehawkvsWhyteleafe
- Feb 9, 2027Brentwood TownvsSt Albans City
- Feb 9, 2027Burgess Hill TownvsWingate & Finchley
- Feb 9, 2027RamsgatevsDartford
- Feb 9, 2027Cray WanderersvsDulwich Hamlet