Match

Three Bridges vs Lewes: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 6, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Jubilee Field, Crawley, West Sussex

Three BridgesLewes

The Footlab model makes Three Bridges the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Lewes. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Three Bridges vs Lewes?

Three Bridges starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (1,807 vs 1,686).

Three Bridges win56 %
Draw22 %
Lewes win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Three Bridges have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Lewes have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Three Bridges
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Aveley(home)1-5Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Chatham Town(away)1-3Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Eastbourne Borough(away)2-3Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Dartford(home)2-3Non League Premier - Isthmian
Apr 25, 2026Faversham Town(away)2-2Non League Div One - Isthmian South East
Lewes
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Whyteleafe(home)3-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026St Albans City(away)2-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Whitehawk(away)0-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Enfield Town(home)0-4Non League Premier - Isthmian
Apr 25, 2026Chatham Town(away)1-2Non League Premier - Isthmian

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Three Bridges win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Lewes win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 20, 2022Three Bridges 4-0 LewesFA Cup
Sep 17, 2022Lewes 1-1 Three BridgesFA Cup

Last archived meeting: Three Bridges vs Lewes on Sep 20, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

Three Bridges score 2.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lewes score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Three Bridges2.01.9211/1511/15
Lewes1.11.738/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Three Bridges sit 22nd in Non League Premier - Isthmian (0 points from 4 matches) and Lewes sit 9th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Lewes4211557
22Three Bridges40046140

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Three Bridges vs Lewes?
The Footlab model makes Three Bridges the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Lewes.
Where and when is Three Bridges vs Lewes played?
Three Bridges vs Lewes is played on October 6, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Jubilee Field, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Three Bridges and Lewes

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