Three Bridges vs Lewes: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 6, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Jubilee Field, Crawley, West Sussex
The Footlab model makes Three Bridges the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Lewes. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Three Bridges vs Lewes?
Three Bridges starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (1,807 vs 1,686).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Three Bridges have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Lewes have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Aveley(home) | 1-5 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chatham Town(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dartford(home) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Faversham Town(away) | 2-2 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Whyteleafe(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | St Albans City(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Whitehawk(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Enfield Town(home) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Chatham Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Three Bridges win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Lewes win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2022 | Three Bridges 4-0 Lewes | FA Cup |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Lewes 1-1 Three Bridges | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Three Bridges vs Lewes on Sep 20, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Three Bridges score 2.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lewes score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Three Bridges | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Lewes | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Three Bridges sit 22nd in Non League Premier - Isthmian (0 points from 4 matches) and Lewes sit 9th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lewes | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| 22 | Three Bridges | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Three Bridges vs Lewes?
- The Footlab model makes Three Bridges the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Lewes.
- Where and when is Three Bridges vs Lewes played?
- Three Bridges vs Lewes is played on October 6, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Jubilee Field, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 5, 2026Carshalton AthleticvsEastbourne Borough
- Oct 6, 2026DartfordvsRamsgate
- Oct 6, 2026St Albans CityvsBrentwood Town
- Oct 6, 2026Maldon & TiptreevsWelling United
- Oct 6, 2026CheshuntvsAveley
- Oct 6, 2026Wingate & FinchleyvsBurgess Hill Town
- Oct 6, 2026Dulwich HamletvsCray Wanderers
- Oct 6, 2026Chatham TownvsLeatherhead