Leyton Orient vs AFC Wimbledon: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Brisbane Road, London
The Footlab model makes Leyton Orient the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for AFC Wimbledon. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leyton Orient vs AFC Wimbledon?
A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Leyton Orient (1,815) and AFC Wimbledon (1,725).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leyton Orient have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; AFC Wimbledon have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wigan(away) | 2-0 | League One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon(home) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sheffield Wednesday(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Oxford United(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Waltham Abbey(away) | 7-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Reading(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Leyton Orient(away) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Huddersfield(away) | 0-3 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Newport County(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | QPR(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Leyton Orient win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 AFC Wimbledon win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Leyton Orient 1-1 AFC Wimbledon | EFL Trophy |
| Mar 17, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon 2-4 Leyton Orient | League One |
| Jan 1, 2026 | Leyton Orient 1-3 AFC Wimbledon | League One |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Leyton Orient 1-0 AFC Wimbledon | League Two |
| Nov 8, 2022 | AFC Wimbledon 2-0 Leyton Orient | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2020 | Leyton Orient 2-0 AFC Wimbledon | EFL Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Leyton Orient vs AFC Wimbledon on Aug 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Leyton Orient score 1.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Wimbledon score 0.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient | 1.8 | 1.2 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| AFC Wimbledon | 0.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leyton Orient sit 10th in League One (3 points from 2 matches) and AFC Wimbledon sit 23rd (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Leyton Orient | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 23 | AFC Wimbledon | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leyton Orient vs AFC Wimbledon?
- The Footlab model makes Leyton Orient the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for AFC Wimbledon.
- Where and when is Leyton Orient vs AFC Wimbledon played?
- Leyton Orient vs AFC Wimbledon is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Brisbane Road, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.