Mansfield Town vs Milton Keynes Dons: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)One Call Stadium, Mansfield, Nottinghamshire
The Footlab AI model makes Mansfield Town the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Milton Keynes Dons. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mansfield Town wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,923 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mansfield Town vs Milton Keynes Dons?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Mansfield Town (1,807) and Milton Keynes Dons (1,826).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mansfield Town vs Milton Keynes Dons
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mansfield Town
3-1-4-2- 14M. Smith
- 18R. Oates
- 25L. Reed
- 22N. Moriah-Welsh
- 13J. Russell
- 3S. McLaughlin
- 4E. Hewitt
- 5R. Sweeney
- 23A. Oshilaja
- 9J. Bowery
- 1L. Roberts
Milton Keynes Dons
3-1-4-2- 10A. Collins
- 9S. Nombe
- 24R. Wintle
- 17S. Silvera
- 20Elijah Xavier Campbell
- 8A. Gilbey
- 7D. Crowley
- 5C. Goode
- 21M. Ekpiteta
- 32J. Sanders
- 23W. Dennis
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 10:52 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mansfield Town have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Milton Keynes Dons have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Macclesfield(home) | 3-0 | FA Cup |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Wigan(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Notts County(home) | 0-2 | League One |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Blackpool(away) | 4-1 | League One |
| Oct 20, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon(away) | 3-0 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Swindon Town(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Doncaster(home) | 6-1 | League One |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Bromley(home) | 4-1 | League One |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Stevenage(away) | 1-0 | League One |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Blackpool(away) | 0-2 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Mansfield Town win, 1 draw, 2 Milton Keynes Dons wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | Milton Keynes Dons 1-4 Mansfield Town | League Two |
| Mar 5, 2024 | Mansfield Town 1-2 Milton Keynes Dons | League Two |
| May 4, 2019 | Milton Keynes Dons 1-0 Mansfield Town | League Two |
| Oct 27, 2018 | Mansfield Town 1-1 Milton Keynes Dons | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Milton Keynes Dons vs Mansfield Town on Apr 13, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Mansfield Town score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Milton Keynes Dons score 2.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mansfield Town | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Milton Keynes Dons | 2.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mansfield Town sit 11th in League One (19 points from 13 matches) and Milton Keynes Dons sit 12th (18 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mansfield Town | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 19 |
| 12 | Milton Keynes Dons | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 20 | 18 |
A question about Mansfield Town vs Milton Keynes Dons?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mansfield Town vs Milton Keynes Dons?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mansfield Town the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Milton Keynes Dons.
- Where and when is Mansfield Town vs Milton Keynes Dons played?
- Mansfield Town vs Milton Keynes Dons is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at One Call Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.