Barnsley vs Sheffield Wednesday: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Oakwell, Barnsley, South Yorkshire
The Footlab model makes Barnsley the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Sheffield Wednesday. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barnsley vs Sheffield Wednesday?
Barnsley starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (1,786 vs 1,667).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barnsley have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Sheffield Wednesday have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Doncaster(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bromley(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wigan(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lincoln(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leyton Orient(away) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bolton(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Oldham(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Accrington ST(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Barnsley win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Sheffield Wednesday win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2023 | Barnsley 0-1 Sheffield Wednesday | League One |
| Mar 21, 2023 | Barnsley 4-2 Sheffield Wednesday | League One |
| Sep 3, 2022 | Sheffield Wednesday 0-2 Barnsley | League One |
| Jul 17, 2021 | Barnsley 2-0 Sheffield Wednesday | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 20, 2021 | Barnsley 1-2 Sheffield Wednesday | Championship |
| Dec 12, 2020 | Sheffield Wednesday 1-2 Barnsley | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Barnsley vs Sheffield Wednesday on May 29, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Barnsley score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sheffield Wednesday score 0.8 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barnsley | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Sheffield Wednesday | 0.8 | 1.6 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Barnsley sit 21st in League One (1 points from 2 matches) and Sheffield Wednesday sit 12th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Sheffield Wednesday | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 21 | Barnsley | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barnsley vs Sheffield Wednesday?
- The Footlab model makes Barnsley the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Sheffield Wednesday.
- Where and when is Barnsley vs Sheffield Wednesday played?
- Barnsley vs Sheffield Wednesday is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Oakwell, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.