Libertad vs Aucas: result 2-2 and analysis
Liga Pro1st Round - 4Kick-off on April 1, 2023 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne, Loja
Full time
What was the result of Libertad vs Aucas?
Libertad and Aucas drew 2-2 on April 1, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 37′J. CifuenteAucas (pen.)
- 45′A. NaulaLibertad
- 67′R. GarcésLibertad (pen.)
- 86′R. OrdóñezAucas
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Libertad have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Aucas have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | Delfin SC(away) | 2-3 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 4, 2023 | Deportivo Cuenca(home) | 3-1 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 27, 2023 | Emelec(away) | 0-2 | Liga Pro |
| Oct 30, 2022 | Imbabura(home) | 2-0 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Oct 25, 2022 | Chacaritas(away) | 2-1 | Liga Pro Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2023 | Universidad Catolica(home) | 4-1 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 4, 2023 | LDU de Quito(away) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 26, 2023 | El Nacional(home) | 0-2 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Independiente del Valle(away) | 0-3 | Supercopa de Ecuador |
| Feb 4, 2023 | LDU de Quito(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Libertad score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Aucas score 1.2 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertad | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Aucas | 1.2 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Libertad sit 8th in Liga Pro (34 points from 25 matches) and Aucas sit 2nd (44 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aucas | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 26 | 44 |
| 8 | Libertad | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 29 | 34 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy