Libya vs Ethiopia: result 3-1 and analysis
African Nations ChampionshipGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on January 21, 2023 at 07:00 PM (UTC)11 June Stadium, Tripoli
Full time
What was the result of Libya vs Ethiopia?
Libya won 3-1 on January 21, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 39′G. PanomEthiopia (pen.)
- 44′Ali Abu ArqoubLibya
- 50′Abdulati Al AbbasiLibya
- 78′Anis SaltouLibya
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Libya have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Ethiopia have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2023 | Mozambique(away) | 2-3 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 13, 2023 | Algeria(away) | 0-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Sep 27, 2022 | Tanzania(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Sep 21, 2022 | Uganda(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 6, 2022 | Equatorial Guinea(away) | 0-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2023 | Algeria(away) | 0-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Mozambique(home) | 0-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Aug 21, 2022 | Uganda(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 9, 2022 | Egypt(home) | 2-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 5, 2022 | Malawi(away) | 1-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Libya win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Ethiopia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2014 | Libya 2-0 Ethiopia | African Nations Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Libya score 0.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Ethiopia score 0.9 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libya | 0.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Ethiopia | 0.9 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy