Libya vs Ethiopia: result 3-1 and analysis
African Nations ChampionshipGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on January 21, 2023 at 07:00 PM (UTC)11 June Stadium, Tripoli
Full time
What was the result of Libya vs Ethiopia?
Libya won 3-1 on January 21, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 39′G. PanomEthiopia (pen.)
- 44′Ali Abu ArqoubLibya
- 50′Abdulati Al AbbasiLibya
- 78′Anis SaltouLibya
Official lineup for Libya vs Ethiopia
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Libya
- 20Anis Saltou
- 6Abouqassim Rajab
- 10Omar Al Khouja
- 17Ali Abu Arqoub
- 18Abdulati Al Abbasi
- 25Mohammed Touhami
- 14Ali Salama
- 13Mohammed El Munir
- 21Talal Farhat
- 24Salah Fakroun
- 1Muad Al Lafi
Ethiopia
- 11Amanuel Gebremichael Aregwai
- 3Mesud Mohammed Mussa
- 6G. Panom
- 7C. Gugsa
- 8K. Markneh
- 10B. Demte
- 2S. Hamid
- 4M. Debebe
- 5M. Solomon
- 20R. Yusef
- 23F. Woldegebriel
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Libya have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Ethiopia have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2023 | Mozambique(away) | 2-3 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 13, 2023 | Algeria(away) | 0-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Sep 27, 2022 | Tanzania(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Sep 21, 2022 | Uganda(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 6, 2022 | Equatorial Guinea(away) | 0-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2023 | Algeria(away) | 0-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Mozambique(home) | 0-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Aug 21, 2022 | Uganda(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 9, 2022 | Egypt(home) | 2-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 5, 2022 | Malawi(away) | 1-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Libya win, 0 draws, 0 Ethiopia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2014 | Libya 2-0 Ethiopia | African Nations Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Libya score 0.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Ethiopia score 0.9 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libya | 0.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Ethiopia | 0.9 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Libya vs Ethiopia?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy