Lida vs Orsha: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 28Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadyen Start, Lida
The Footlab AI model makes Lida the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for Orsha. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lida vs Orsha?
Lida starts as the favourite with a 257-point Elo edge (1,509 vs 1,252).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lida vs Orsha
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lida
4-3-3- 27D. Vashkevich
- 11Daniil Charheika
- 14Egor Zaitsev
- 10A. Chernodarov
- 23Maks Zhestarev
- 20A. Mazurich
- 3A. Legchilin
- 6M. Katsynel
- 5I. Tymonyuk
- 13E. Karpovich
- 25E. Gremza
Orsha
4-3-3- 11D. Stain
- 16M. Pashkevich
- 17Y. Kulesh
- 10Alexander Alexandrovich
- 93P. Bordukov
- 9D. Tikhomirov
- 82V. Shalychev
- 5N. Tarbyakov
- 3N. Bykov
- 18N. Volchenko
- 1A. Volodkov
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lida have 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; Orsha have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Volna(away) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Smorgon(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Bumprom(away) | 0-4 | 1. Division |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Minsk II(home) | 3-2 | 1. Division |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Osipovichy(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Niva(home) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk(away) | 1-5 | 1. Division |
| Sep 19, 2026 | FC Slutsk(home) | 0-3 | 1. Division |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Dinamo Minsk II(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Ostrovets FC(home) | 2-3 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Lida wins, 0 draws, 1 Orsha win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | Orsha 1-2 Lida | 1. Division |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Lida 2-0 Orsha | 1. Division |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Orsha 1-3 Lida | 1. Division |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Orsha 2-4 Lida | 1. Division |
| Jun 23, 2024 | Lida 0-1 Orsha | 1. Division |
| Aug 30, 2023 | Orsha 0-3 Lida | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Lida score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Orsha score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lida | 1.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Orsha | 1.1 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lida sit 3rd in 1. Division (54 points from 27 matches) and Orsha sit 14th (27 points from 27 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lida | 27 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 51 | 43 | 54 |
| 14 | Orsha | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 28 | 51 | 27 |
A question about Lida vs Orsha?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lida vs Orsha?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lida the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for Orsha.
- Where and when is Lida vs Orsha played?
- Lida vs Orsha is played on October 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadyen Start, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.