Lida vs Orsha: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 28Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadyen Start, Lida
The Footlab model makes Lida the favourite at 64%, against 19% for a draw and 17% for Orsha. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lida vs Orsha?
Lida starts as the favourite with a 224-point Elo edge (1,502 vs 1,278).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lida have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Orsha have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Niva(home) | 3-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk(away) | 2-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Slutsk(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Dinamo Minsk II(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ostrovets FC(away) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | BATE II(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Uni Minsk(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Molodechno-DYuSSh 4(home) | 0-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Gomel II(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Shakhter Soligorsk(home) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Lida win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Orsha win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | Orsha 1-2 Lida | 1. Division |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Lida 2-0 Orsha | 1. Division |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Orsha 1-3 Lida | 1. Division |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Orsha 2-4 Lida | 1. Division |
| Jun 23, 2024 | Lida 0-1 Orsha | 1. Division |
| Aug 30, 2023 | Orsha 0-3 Lida | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Lida score 2.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Orsha score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lida | 2.2 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Orsha | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lida sit 3rd in 1. Division (39 points from 21 matches) and Orsha sit 15th (22 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lida | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 40 | 34 | 39 |
| 5 | Lida | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 22 | 20 |
| 12 | Orsha | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 11 |
| 15 | Orsha | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 22 | 35 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lida vs Orsha?
- The Footlab model makes Lida the favourite at 64%, against 19% for a draw and 17% for Orsha.
- Where and when is Lida vs Orsha played?
- Lida vs Orsha is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadyen Start, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.