Lida vs Ostrovets FC: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 34Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadyen Start, Lida
The Footlab model makes Lida the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Ostrovets FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lida vs Ostrovets FC?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Lida (1,502) and Ostrovets FC (1,404).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lida have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Ostrovets FC have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Niva(home) | 3-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk(away) | 2-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Slutsk(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Dinamo Minsk II(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ostrovets FC(away) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Smorgon(away) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bumprom(home) | 1-4 | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Minsk II(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Osipovichy(home) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lida(home) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Lida win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Ostrovets FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ostrovets FC 1-3 Lida | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Ostrovets FC 1-3 Lida | 1. Division |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Lida 4-1 Ostrovets FC | 1. Division |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Lida 0-1 Ostrovets FC | 1. Division |
| May 11, 2024 | Ostrovets FC 0-2 Lida | 1. Division |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Lida 4-0 Ostrovets FC | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Lida score 2.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ostrovets FC score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lida | 2.2 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Ostrovets FC | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lida sit 3rd in 1. Division (39 points from 21 matches) and Ostrovets FC sit 12th (24 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lida | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 40 | 34 | 39 |
| 5 | Lida | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 22 | 20 |
| 11 | Ostrovets FC | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 12 |
| 12 | Ostrovets FC | 21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 25 | 31 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lida vs Ostrovets FC?
- The Footlab model makes Lida the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Ostrovets FC.
- Where and when is Lida vs Ostrovets FC played?
- Lida vs Ostrovets FC is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadyen Start, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.