Minsk II vs BATE II: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 34Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadyen Tarpeda, Minsk
The Footlab model makes Minsk II the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for BATE II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Minsk II vs BATE II?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Minsk II (1,397) and BATE II (1,331).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Minsk II have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; BATE II have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Slutsk(home) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dinamo Minsk II(away) | 4-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Ostrovets FC(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Slonim(away) | 3-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | BATE II(away) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Orsha(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Volna(home) | 5-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Smorgon(away) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Bumprom(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Minsk II(home) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Minsk II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 BATE II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | BATE II 0-1 Minsk II | 1. Division |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Minsk II 1-0 BATE II | 1. Division |
| Jun 2, 2025 | BATE II 3-2 Minsk II | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Minsk II score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; BATE II score 1.3 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minsk II | 1.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| BATE II | 1.3 | 2.4 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Minsk II sit 10th in 1. Division (29 points from 21 matches) and BATE II sit 17th (17 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Minsk II | 21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 29 | 36 | 29 |
| 14 | BATE II | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 22 | 11 |
| 17 | Minsk II | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 26 | 10 |
| 17 | BATE II | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 49 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Minsk II vs BATE II?
- The Footlab model makes Minsk II the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for BATE II.
- Where and when is Minsk II vs BATE II played?
- Minsk II vs BATE II is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadyen Tarpeda, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.