Bumprom vs Uni Minsk: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 34Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Bumprom the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Uni Minsk. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bumprom vs Uni Minsk?
Bumprom starts as the favourite with a 139-point Elo edge (1,493 vs 1,353).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bumprom have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Uni Minsk have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dinamo Minsk II(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ostrovets FC(away) | 4-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Slonim(away) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | BATE II(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Uni Minsk(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gomel II(away) | 4-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Orsha(home) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Volna(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Smorgon(home) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bumprom(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Bumprom win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Uni Minsk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Uni Minsk 1-1 Bumprom | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Uni Minsk 0-0 Bumprom | 1. Division |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Bumprom 1-1 Uni Minsk | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Bumprom score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Uni Minsk score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bumprom | 1.9 | 1.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Uni Minsk | 1.1 | 1.3 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bumprom sit 7th in 1. Division (34 points from 21 matches) and Uni Minsk sit 13th (24 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bumprom | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 23 |
| 7 | Bumprom | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 29 | 34 |
| 13 | Uni Minsk | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 27 | 24 |
| 13 | Uni Minsk | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bumprom vs Uni Minsk?
- The Footlab model makes Bumprom the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Uni Minsk.
- Where and when is Bumprom vs Uni Minsk played?
- Bumprom vs Uni Minsk is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.