Ligorna vs Imperia: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone AGroup A - 12Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Campo Sportivo Ligorna, Genova
The Footlab model makes Ligorna the favourite at 67%, against 21% for a draw and 12% for Imperia. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ligorna vs Imperia?
Ligorna starts as the favourite with a 206-point Elo edge (1,876 vs 1,670).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ligorna have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Imperia have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Città di Varese(home) | 5-3 | Serie D - Girone A |
| May 10, 2026 | Chisola(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| May 3, 2026 | NovaRomentin(home) | 9-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Asti(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Biellese(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Pro Patria(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Celle Varazze(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Derthona(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Sanremese(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | NovaRomentin(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ligorna win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Imperia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Ligorna 0-2 Imperia | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Imperia 2-2 Ligorna | Serie D - Girone A |
| Jan 5, 2025 | Ligorna 1-1 Imperia | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 25, 2024 | Imperia 1-3 Ligorna | Serie D - Girone A |
| Mar 26, 2022 | Imperia 0-0 Ligorna | Serie D - Girone A |
| Nov 7, 2021 | Ligorna 2-1 Imperia | Serie D - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Ligorna score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Imperia score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligorna | 1.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Imperia | 1.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ligorna sit 2nd in Serie D - Girone A (72 points from 34 matches) and Imperia sit 12th (41 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ligorna | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 64 | 26 | 72 |
| 12 | Imperia | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 36 | 44 | 41 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ligorna vs Imperia?
- The Footlab model makes Ligorna the favourite at 67%, against 21% for a draw and 12% for Imperia.
- Where and when is Ligorna vs Imperia played?
- Ligorna vs Imperia is played on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Campo Sportivo Ligorna, in the Serie D - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.