Sanremese vs Alessandria: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone AGroup A - 12Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Luigi Cichero, Sanremo
The Footlab AI model makes Sanremese the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Alessandria. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sanremese wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,560 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sanremese vs Alessandria?
Sanremese starts as the favourite with a 137-point Elo edge (1,808 vs 1,671).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sanremese vs Alessandria
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sanremese
Not enough data to predict the Sanremese lineup.
Alessandria
4-3-3- 31T. Busatto
- 29K. Laukžemis
- 14A. Pellitteri
- 4M. Nichetti
- 24A. Mastalli
- 66A. Sepe
- 23S. Ciancio
- 3E. Rossi
- 17E. Gega
- 5F. Cusumano
- 1A. Farroni
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 12:06 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sanremese have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Alessandria have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Millesimo(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sestri Levante(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Valenzana(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Millesimo(home) | 5-2 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Bra(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Biellese(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Lascaris(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Fezzanese(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Biellese(away) | 2-3 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Derthona(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Sanremese score 1.6 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Alessandria score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sanremese | 1.6 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Alessandria | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sanremese sit 6th in Serie D - Girone A (13 points from 9 matches) and Alessandria sit 1st (21 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alessandria | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 21 |
| 6 | Sanremese | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 13 |
A question about Sanremese vs Alessandria?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sanremese vs Alessandria?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sanremese the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Alessandria.
- Where and when is Sanremese vs Alessandria played?
- Sanremese vs Alessandria is played on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Luigi Cichero, in the Serie D - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.