Lilla Torg vs Nosaby: prediction and stats
Division 2 - Södra GötalandSödra Götaland - 24Kick-off on October 2, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Lilla Torg the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Nosaby. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lilla Torg vs Nosaby?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Lilla Torg (1,405) and Nosaby (1,442).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lilla Torg have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Nosaby have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | IFK Trelleborg(away) | 0-2 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Karlskrona(home) | 1-4 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Staffanstorp United(away) | 1-1 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Oskarshamns AIK(home) | 2-3 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kristianstad(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Torns(home) | 5-0 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 18, 2026 | IFK Trelleborg(home) | 0-3 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sölvesborg(away) | 2-1 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Linero(home) | 4-0 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Karlskrona(away) | 1-5 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Lilla Torg win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Nosaby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 17, 2026 | Nosaby 3-3 Lilla Torg | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
How many goals should we expect?
Lilla Torg score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Nosaby score 2.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lilla Torg | 1.3 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Nosaby | 2.0 | 1.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lilla Torg sit 9th in Division 2 - Södra Götaland (15 points from 13 matches) and Nosaby sit 6th (20 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nosaby | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 35 | 30 | 29 |
| 6 | Nosaby | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 21 | 20 |
| 9 | Lilla Torg | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 15 |
| 11 | Lilla Torg | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 19 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lilla Torg vs Nosaby?
- The Footlab model makes Lilla Torg the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Nosaby.
- Where and when is Lilla Torg vs Nosaby played?
- Lilla Torg vs Nosaby is played on October 2, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.