Växjö Norra vs Karlshamn: prediction and stats
Division 2 - Södra GötalandSödra Götaland - 24Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Växjö Norra the favourite at 67%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for Karlshamn. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Växjö Norra vs Karlshamn?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Växjö Norra (1,383) and Karlshamn (1,296).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Växjö Norra have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Karlshamn have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Karlskrona(away) | 0-5 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 19, 2026 | IFK Varnamo(home) | 1-3 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Staffanstorp United(home) | 2-0 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 9, 2026 | IFK Trelleborg(away) | 0-4 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Berga(away) | 1-3 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Sölvesborg(away) | 1-2 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 15, 2026 | IFK Trelleborg(home) | 1-5 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Oskarshamns AIK(away) | 0-5 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Räppe(home) | 2-2 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Linero(away) | 1-3 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Växjö Norra win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Karlshamn win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Karlshamn 1-2 Växjö Norra | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Karlshamn 0-0 Växjö Norra | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Apr 4, 2025 | Växjö Norra 2-0 Karlshamn | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
Last archived meeting: Karlshamn vs Växjö Norra on May 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Växjö Norra score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Karlshamn score 1.1 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Växjö Norra | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Karlshamn | 1.1 | 2.5 | 1 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Växjö Norra sit 4th in Division 2 - Södra Götaland (23 points from 13 matches) and Karlshamn sit 14th (7 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Växjö Norra | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 14 | 23 |
| 7 | Växjö Norra | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 26 | 26 |
| 14 | Karlshamn | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 13 | 26 | 7 |
| 14 | Karlshamn | 18 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 18 | 43 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Växjö Norra vs Karlshamn?
- The Footlab model makes Växjö Norra the favourite at 67%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for Karlshamn.
- Where and when is Växjö Norra vs Karlshamn played?
- Växjö Norra vs Karlshamn is played on October 3, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC), in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.