Lille vs Marseille: result 1-1 and analysis
Ligue 1Regular Season - 32Kick-off on May 4, 2025 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve d'Ascq
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What was the result of Lille vs Marseille?
Lille and Marseille drew 1-1 on May 4, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 57′A. GouiriMarseille
- 74′M. Fernandez-PardoLille
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lille have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Marseille have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2025 | Angers(away) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Auxerre(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Toulouse(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Lyon(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Lens(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2025 | Stade Brestois 29(home) | 4-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Montpellier(home) | 5-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Monaco(away) | 0-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Toulouse(home) | 3-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Reims(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Lille win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Marseille win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025 | Marseille 1-1 Lille | Coupe de France |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Marseille 1-1 Lille | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 5, 2024 | Lille 3-1 Marseille | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Marseille 0-0 Lille | Ligue 1 |
| May 20, 2023 | Lille 2-1 Marseille | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 10, 2022 | Marseille 2-1 Lille | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Lille score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Marseille score 1.9 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Marseille | 1.9 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lille sit 3rd in Ligue 1 (3 points from 1 matches) and Marseille sit 1st (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marseille | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Lille | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy