Marseille vs Lille: result 1-1 and analysis
Coupe de FranceRound of 32Kick-off on January 14, 2025 at 08:10 PM (UTC)Stade Orange Vélodrome, Marseille
Full time
What was the result of Marseille vs Lille?
Marseille and Lille drew 1-1 on January 14, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 68′H. HaraldssonLille
- 90′Luis HenriqueMarseille
- 120′M. GreenwoodMarseille (pen.)
- 120′M. BakkerLille (pen.)
- 120′IsmailyLille (pen.)
- 120′L. BalerdiMarseille (pen.)
- 120′André GomesLille (pen.)
- 120′A. RabiotMarseille (pen.)
- 120′Alexsandro RibeiroLille (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marseille have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Lille have 7, 8 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | Rennes(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 5, 2025 | Le Havre(home) | 5-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Saint Etienne(away) | 4-0 | Coupe de France |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Lille(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Saint Etienne(away) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2025 | Auxerre(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 4, 2025 | Nantes(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 20, 2024 | Rouen(away) | 1-0 | Coupe de France |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Marseille(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 11, 2024 | Sturm Graz(home) | 3-2 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Marseille win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Lille win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024 | Marseille 1-1 Lille | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 5, 2024 | Lille 3-1 Marseille | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Marseille 0-0 Lille | Ligue 1 |
| May 20, 2023 | Lille 2-1 Marseille | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 10, 2022 | Marseille 2-1 Lille | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 16, 2022 | Marseille 1-1 Lille | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Marseille score 2.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Lille score 1.5 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille | 2.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Lille | 1.5 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy