Lille vs Marseille: result 1-0 and analysis
Ligue 1Regular Season - 15Kick-off on December 5, 2025 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve d'Ascq
Full time
What was the result of Lille vs Marseille?
Lille won 1-0 on December 5, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 10′E. MbappéLille
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lille have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Marseille have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2025 | Le Havre(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 27, 2025 | Dinamo Zagreb(home) | 4-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Paris FC(home) | 4-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Strasbourg(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 6, 2025 | FK Crvena Zvezda(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | Toulouse(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 25, 2025 | Newcastle(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Nice(away) | 5-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Stade Brestois 29(home) | 3-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Atalanta(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Lille win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Marseille win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2025 | Lille 1-1 Marseille | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 14, 2025 | Marseille 1-1 Lille | Coupe de France |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Marseille 1-1 Lille | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 5, 2024 | Lille 3-1 Marseille | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Marseille 0-0 Lille | Ligue 1 |
| May 20, 2023 | Lille 2-1 Marseille | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Lille score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Marseille score 2.3 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille | 1.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Marseille | 2.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lille sit 3rd in Ligue 1 (3 points from 1 matches) and Marseille sit 1st (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marseille | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Lille | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy