Lillestrøm II vs Fløya: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 5Regular Season - 25Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)LSK-hallen, Lillestrøm
The Footlab model makes Lillestrøm II the favourite at 40%, against 21% for a draw and 39% for Fløya. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lillestrøm II vs Fløya?
Fløya starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,676 vs 1,576).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lillestrøm II have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; Fløya have 11, 0 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Harstad(home) | 3-4 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Skjetten(away) | 1-2 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Kongsvinger II(home) | 4-5 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Fløya(away) | 2-3 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Tromsø II(home) | 5-3 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Junkeren(home) | 5-3 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Skjervøy(away) | 3-1 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Ulfstind(home) | 7-0 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Alta(away) | 1-3 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lillestrøm II(home) | 3-2 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Lillestrøm II win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Fløya win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Fløya 3-2 Lillestrøm II | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Aug 21, 2022 | Fløya 2-0 Lillestrøm II | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Jun 26, 2022 | Lillestrøm II 0-3 Fløya | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
Last archived meeting: Fløya vs Lillestrøm II on Jul 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lillestrøm II score 3.3 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Fløya score 3.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lillestrøm II | 3.3 | 2.5 | 0 | 15/15 | 15/15 |
| Fløya | 3.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 15/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lillestrøm II sit 8th in 3. Division - Girone 5 (21 points from 16 matches) and Fløya sit 3rd (29 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Fløya | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 40 | 24 | 29 |
| 8 | Lillestrøm II | 16 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lillestrøm II vs Fløya?
- The Footlab model makes Lillestrøm II the favourite at 40%, against 21% for a draw and 39% for Fløya.
- Where and when is Lillestrøm II vs Fløya played?
- Lillestrøm II vs Fløya is played on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at LSK-hallen, in the 3. Division - Girone 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.