Limavady United vs Dungannon Swifts: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Showgrounds, Limavady
The Footlab model makes Limavady United the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Dungannon Swifts. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Limavady United vs Dungannon Swifts?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Limavady United (1,485) and Dungannon Swifts (1,541).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Limavady United have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Dungannon Swifts have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Carrick Rangers(home) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Glentoran(away) | 0-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Strabane Athletic(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Linfield(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Institute(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bangor(home) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Portadown(away) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Coleraine FC(home) | 1-3 | Premiership |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Moyola Park(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | H&W Welders(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Limavady United win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Dungannon Swifts win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2018 | Dungannon Swifts 2-1 Limavady United | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Dungannon Swifts vs Limavady United on Aug 28, 2018
How many goals should we expect?
Limavady United score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Dungannon Swifts score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Limavady United | 1.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Dungannon Swifts | 2.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Limavady United sit 11th in Premiership (0 points from 2 matches) and Dungannon Swifts sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Dungannon Swifts | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 11 | Limavady United | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Limavady United vs Dungannon Swifts?
- The Footlab model makes Limavady United the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Dungannon Swifts.
- Where and when is Limavady United vs Dungannon Swifts played?
- Limavady United vs Dungannon Swifts is played on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Showgrounds, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.