Limonest vs Fréjus St-Raphaël: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group CGroup C - 26Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Courtois Fillot, Limonest
The Footlab AI model makes Limonest the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Fréjus St-Raphaël. The most likely score is 1-1. If Limonest wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,447 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Limonest vs Fréjus St-Raphaël?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Limonest (1,726) and Fréjus St-Raphaël (1,745).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Limonest vs Fréjus St-Raphaël
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Limonest
Not enough data to predict the Limonest lineup.
Fréjus St-Raphaël
Not enough data to predict the Fréjus St-Raphaël lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 03:58 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Limonest have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Fréjus St-Raphaël have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Rumilly Vallières(away) | 1-4 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Istres(home) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Chateauroux(away) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Aug 29, 2026 | UF Touraine(home) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Hyères(away) | 2-2 | National 2 - Group C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bourges Foot 18(away) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Chasselay MDA(home) | 2-4 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Toulon(away) | 1-3 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Andrézieux(home) | 2-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Nimes(away) | 0-3 | National 2 - Group C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Limonest win, 0 draws, 1 Fréjus St-Raphaël win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | Fréjus St-Raphaël 1-4 Limonest | National 2 - Group C |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Limonest 0-2 Fréjus St-Raphaël | National 2 - Group C |
Last archived meeting: Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Limonest on Apr 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Limonest score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Fréjus St-Raphaël score 1.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Limonest | 1.3 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Fréjus St-Raphaël | 1.0 | 1.7 | 5 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Limonest sit 12th in National 2 - Group C (5 points from 5 matches) and Fréjus St-Raphaël sit 8th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Fréjus St-Raphaël | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 9 |
| 12 | Limonest | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 5 |
A question about Limonest vs Fréjus St-Raphaël?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Limonest vs Fréjus St-Raphaël?
- The Footlab AI model makes Limonest the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Fréjus St-Raphaël.
- Where and when is Limonest vs Fréjus St-Raphaël played?
- Limonest vs Fréjus St-Raphaël is played on April 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Courtois Fillot, in the National 2 - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.