Saint-Priest vs Toulon: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group CGroup C - 26Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Jacques Joly, Saint-Priest
The Footlab model makes Saint-Priest the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Toulon. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Saint-Priest vs Toulon?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Saint-Priest (1,676) and Toulon (1,743).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Saint-Priest have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Toulon have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Fréjus St-Raphaël(away) | 0-3 | National 2 - Group C |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Monaco(away) | 2-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Hyères(away) | 1-4 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 9, 2026 | Toulon(home) | 2-2 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 2, 2026 | St Maur Lusitanos(home) | 2-3 | National 2 - Group C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chasselay MDA(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 16, 2026 | Bobigny(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 9, 2026 | Saint-Priest(away) | 2-2 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 2, 2026 | Fréjus St-Raphaël(away) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Rumilly Vallières(home) | 2-1 | National 2 - Group C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Saint-Priest win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Toulon win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Saint-Priest 2-2 Toulon | National 2 - Group C |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Toulon 1-2 Saint-Priest | National 2 - Group C |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Toulon 4-2 Saint-Priest | National 2 - Group A |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Saint-Priest 1-2 Toulon | National 2 - Group A |
| Apr 29, 2023 | Saint-Priest 2-1 Toulon | National 2 - Group C |
| Dec 3, 2022 | Toulon 2-1 Saint-Priest | National 2 - Group C |
Last archived meeting: Saint-Priest vs Toulon on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Saint-Priest score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Toulon score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint-Priest | 0.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Toulon | 1.4 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Saint-Priest sit 16th in National 2 - Group C (0 points from 1 matches) and Toulon sit 7th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Toulon | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 16 | Saint-Priest | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Saint-Priest vs Toulon?
- The Footlab model makes Saint-Priest the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Toulon.
- Where and when is Saint-Priest vs Toulon played?
- Saint-Priest vs Toulon is played on April 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Jacques Joly, in the National 2 - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.