Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Lions Gibraltar: prediction and stats
Premier DivisionRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Victoria Stadium, Gibraltar
The Footlab model makes Lincoln Red Imps FC the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for Lions Gibraltar. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Lions Gibraltar?
Lincoln Red Imps FC is a heavy favourite: 1,747 Elo points against 1,307, a 440-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lincoln Red Imps FC have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Lions Gibraltar have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | St Joseph S Fc(home) | 3-1 | Super Cup |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Larne(home) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Mjallby AIF(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Magpies(home) | 1-1 | Premier Division |
| Apr 26, 2026 | St Joseph S Fc(away) | 3-3 | Premier Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Lynx(away) | 1-0 | Premier Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(home) | 1-1 | Premier Division |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Europa(home) | 0-3 | Premier Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Lincoln Red Imps FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Lions Gibraltar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Lions Gibraltar 1-1 Lincoln Red Imps FC | Premier Division |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC 2-1 Lions Gibraltar | Rock Cup |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Lions Gibraltar 1-2 Lincoln Red Imps FC | Premier Division |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Lincoln Red Imps FC 4-0 Lions Gibraltar | Premier Division |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Lincoln Red Imps FC 3-0 Lions Gibraltar | Premier Division |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Lincoln Red Imps FC 1-2 Lions Gibraltar | Premier Division |
Last archived meeting: Lions Gibraltar vs Lincoln Red Imps FC on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lincoln Red Imps FC score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lions Gibraltar score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lincoln Red Imps FC | 1.7 | 0.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Lions Gibraltar | 1.9 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Lions Gibraltar | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Lions Gibraltar?
- The Footlab model makes Lincoln Red Imps FC the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for Lions Gibraltar.
- Where and when is Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Lions Gibraltar played?
- Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Lions Gibraltar is played on October 24, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Victoria Stadium, in the Premier Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.