St Joseph S Fc vs College 1975: prediction and stats
Premier DivisionRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Victoria Stadium, Gibraltar
The Footlab model makes St Joseph S Fc the favourite at 80%, against 14% for a draw and 6% for College 1975. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win St Joseph S Fc vs College 1975?
St Joseph S Fc is a heavy favourite: 1,624 Elo points against 1,041, a 583-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, St Joseph S Fc have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; College 1975 have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(away) | 1-3 | Super Cup |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Bohemians(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 9, 2026 | Bohemians(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Lions Gibraltar(home) | 3-3 | Premier Division |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Mons Calpe(away) | 2-3 | Premier Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Hound Dogs(away) | 1-1 | Premier Division |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Mons Calpe(away) | 0-2 | Premier Division |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Manchester 62(home) | 1-1 | Premier Division |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Glacis United(home) | 0-2 | Rock Cup |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Europa(home) | 0-1 | Premier Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 St Joseph S Fc win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 College 1975 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2025 | College 1975 1-5 St Joseph S Fc | Premier Division |
| Aug 24, 2025 | St Joseph S Fc 4-0 College 1975 | Premier Division |
| Feb 2, 2025 | St Joseph S Fc 5-0 College 1975 | Rock Cup |
| Nov 30, 2024 | St Joseph S Fc 1-0 College 1975 | Premier Division |
| Aug 24, 2024 | College 1975 0-4 St Joseph S Fc | Premier Division |
| Feb 2, 2024 | St Joseph S Fc 4-1 College 1975 | Premier Division |
Last archived meeting: College 1975 vs St Joseph S Fc on Nov 30, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
St Joseph S Fc score 2.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; College 1975 score 0.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St Joseph S Fc | 2.1 | 1.0 | 7 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
| College 1975 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 3 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | College 1975 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for St Joseph S Fc vs College 1975?
- The Footlab model makes St Joseph S Fc the favourite at 80%, against 14% for a draw and 6% for College 1975.
- Where and when is St Joseph S Fc vs College 1975 played?
- St Joseph S Fc vs College 1975 is played on October 25, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Victoria Stadium, in the Premier Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.