Lindo FF vs Malmo FF: prediction and stats
Svenska CupenFinalKick-off on August 27, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Malmo FF the favourite at 78%, against 14% for a draw and 8% for Lindo FF. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lindo FF vs Malmo FF?
Malmo FF is a heavy favourite: 1,867 Elo points against 1,414 — a 453-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lindo FF have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Malmo FF have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Karlslund(home) | 0-1 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Sleipner(away) | 1-2 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Fittja(home) | 2-3 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nacka Iliria(away) | 1-1 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Smedby(home) | 2-0 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gais(away) | 1-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Degerfors IF(home) | 1-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 2, 2026 | IF Brommapojkarna(away) | 2-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 26, 2026 | IF Elfsborg(home) | 1-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Kalmar FF(away) | 2-2 | Allsvenskan |
How many goals should we expect?
Lindo FF score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Malmo FF score 1.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindo FF | 1.5 | 1.6 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Malmo FF | 1.9 | 1.8 | 4 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malmo FF | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lindo FF vs Malmo FF?
- The Footlab model makes Malmo FF the favourite at 78%, against 14% for a draw and 8% for Lindo FF.
- Where and when is Lindo FF vs Malmo FF played?
- Lindo FF vs Malmo FF is played on August 27, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC), in the Svenska Cupen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.