Linhares vs GEL: prediction and stats
Capixaba BRegular Season - 9Kick-off on August 26, 2026 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Joaquim Calmon, Linhares, Espírito Santo
The Footlab model makes Linhares the favourite at 71%, against 18% for a draw and 11% for GEL. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Linhares vs GEL?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Linhares (1,559) and GEL (1,465).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Linhares have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; GEL have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Doze(home) | 3-0 | Capixaba B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Audax São Mateus(away) | 0-1 | Capixaba B |
| Aug 5, 2026 | CTE Colatina(home) | 2-0 | Capixaba B |
| Jul 28, 2026 | GEL(away) | 4-0 | Capixaba B |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Doze(away) | 2-0 | Capixaba B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Doze(away) | 2-1 | Capixaba B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | CTE Colatina(home) | 6-0 | Capixaba B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Audax São Mateus(away) | 0-0 | Capixaba B |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Linhares(home) | 0-4 | Capixaba B |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Doze(home) | 0-0 | Capixaba B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Linhares win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 GEL win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | GEL 0-4 Linhares | Capixaba B |
| Aug 19, 2025 | Linhares 5-0 GEL | Capixaba B |
How many goals should we expect?
Linhares score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; GEL score 0.9 and concede 2.9. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Linhares | 1.9 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| GEL | 0.9 | 2.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Linhares sit 2nd in Capixaba B (15 points from 6 matches) and GEL sit 7th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Linhares | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1 | 15 |
| 7 | GEL | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Linhares vs GEL?
- The Footlab model makes Linhares the favourite at 71%, against 18% for a draw and 11% for GEL.
- Where and when is Linhares vs GEL played?
- Linhares vs GEL is played on August 26, 2026 at 10:30 PM (UTC) at Estádio Joaquim Calmon, in the Capixaba B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.