Lioli vs Matlama: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Lioli Football Stadium, Teyateyaneng
The Footlab AI model makes Matlama the favourite at 35%, against 33% for a draw and 32% for Lioli. The most likely score is 1-1. If Matlama wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,044 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lioli vs Matlama?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Lioli (1,686) and Matlama (1,730).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lioli vs Matlama
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lioli
Not enough data to predict the Lioli lineup.
Matlama
4-3-3- 17Motete Mohai
- 30Khoanyane Mokoena
- 6Khotso Molelengoane
- 23Lisema Richard Lebokollane
- 15Jane Thabantso
- 11Makume Theletsane
- 20Rethabile Mokokoana
- 10Phafa Tšosane
- 18Lerothodi Zwane
- 2Salebone Tseliso Lekhooa
- 16Monaheng Ramalefane
Computed on October 23, 2026 at 01:08 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lioli have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; Matlama have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Manonyane(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Majantja(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Lijabatho(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Machokha(away) | 5-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Mzamane(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Linare(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Lijabatho(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Limkokwing University(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | LCS(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Lifofane(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Lioli wins, 3 draws, 3 Matlama wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Matlama 1-0 Lioli | Premier League |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Lioli 1-2 Matlama | Premier League |
| May 1, 2025 | Lioli 3-3 Matlama | Premier League |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Matlama 1-0 Lioli | Premier League |
| May 18, 2024 | Lioli 1-1 Matlama | Premier League |
| Jan 21, 2024 | Matlama 1-1 Lioli | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Lioli score 1.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Matlama score 1.5 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lioli | 1.3 | 0.8 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Matlama | 1.5 | 0.5 | 10 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lioli sit 3rd in Premier League (11 points from 5 matches) and Matlama sit 2nd (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Matlama | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
| 3 | Lioli | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 11 |
A question about Lioli vs Matlama?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lioli vs Matlama?
- The Footlab AI model makes Matlama the favourite at 35%, against 33% for a draw and 32% for Lioli.
- Where and when is Lioli vs Matlama played?
- Lioli vs Matlama is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Lioli Football Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.