Lions vs Mitchelton: result 3-2 and analysis
Brisbane Premier LeagueSemi-finalsKick-off on September 4, 2016 at 05:00 AM (UTC)C.J. Greenfield Reserve, Brisbane
Full time
What was the result of Lions vs Mitchelton?
Lions won 3-2 on September 4, 2016.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lions have 11 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; Mitchelton have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2016 | North Pine(away) | 2-3 | Brisbane Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2016 | Univ. Queensland(home) | 2-3 | Brisbane Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2016 | Ipswich Knights(away) | 3-1 | Brisbane Premier League |
| Jul 24, 2016 | Eastern Suburbs(home) | 2-1 | Brisbane Premier League |
| Jul 16, 2016 | Logan Lightning(away) | 1-3 | Brisbane Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2016 | Logan Lightning(away) | 5-0 | Brisbane Premier League |
| Aug 13, 2016 | Rochedale Rovers(home) | 2-1 | Brisbane Premier League |
| Jul 30, 2016 | Albany Creek(away) | 1-2 | Brisbane Premier League |
| Jul 23, 2016 | North Pine(home) | 3-1 | Brisbane Premier League |
| Jul 17, 2016 | Peninsula Power(away) | 1-3 | Brisbane Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Lions win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Mitchelton win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 12, 2016 | Lions 4-0 Mitchelton | Brisbane Premier League |
| Mar 5, 2016 | Mitchelton 1-4 Lions | Brisbane Premier League |
| Jul 26, 2015 | Lions 0-0 Mitchelton | Brisbane Premier League |
| Apr 18, 2015 | Mitchelton 2-2 Lions | Brisbane Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Lions score 2.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Mitchelton score 2.0 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lions | 2.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Mitchelton | 2.0 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy