Match

Lions vs Preston Lions: prediction and stats

Australian ChampionshipGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on October 22, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Luxury Paints Stadium, Brisbane

LionsPreston Lions

The Footlab AI model makes Lions the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Preston Lions. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lions wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,919 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lions vs Preston Lions?

Lions starts as the favourite with a 125-point Elo edge (2,024 vs 1,899).

61%21%18%
Lions winDrawPreston Lions win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Lions vs Preston Lions

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Lions

3-4-2-1
  1. 23F. Beakhurst
  1. 3J. Hart-Phillips
  2. 12S. Carlos
  3. 8M. Hore
  4. 10Rahmat Akbari
  5. 4B. Ponting
  6. 19C. Palm
  1. 5T. Jarrad
  2. 14E. Debele
  3. 2L. Ponting
  1. 66J. Riley

Preston Lions

4-3-3
  1. 7L. Brooks
  2. 27L. Tevere
  3. 77G. Albano
  1. 80C. Cuba
  2. 19O. Kubilay
  3. 4J. Ali
  1. 32S. Nigro
  2. 5A. Brice
  3. 2D. Folino
  4. 20Zachary Cianci
  1. 1R. Scott

Computed on October 21, 2026 at 05:24 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lions have 12 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats; Preston Lions have 8, 5 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lions
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026South Hobart(home)1-2Australian Championship
Sep 15, 2026South Melbourne(away)1-3Australia Cup
Sep 12, 2026Peninsula Power(home)1-0Queensland NPL
Aug 30, 2026Peninsula Power(home)4-1Queensland NPL
Aug 25, 2026North Sunshine Eagles(home)4-0Australia Cup
Preston Lions
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 15, 2026Wollongong Wolves(home)0-0Australian Championship
Sep 5, 2026Avondale(away)0-2Victoria NPL
Aug 29, 2026Altona Magic(home)1-1Victoria NPL
Aug 26, 2026South Melbourne(home)1-2Australia Cup
Aug 22, 2026Dandenong City(away)0-0Victoria NPL

How many goals should we expect?

Lions score 2.2 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Preston Lions score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Lions2.20.887/157/15
Preston Lions1.70.977/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Preston Lions1001011

A question about Lions vs Preston Lions?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lions vs Preston Lions?
The Footlab AI model makes Lions the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Preston Lions.
Where and when is Lions vs Preston Lions played?
Lions vs Preston Lions is played on October 22, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Luxury Paints Stadium, in the Australian Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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