Lisburn Distillery vs Finaghy: result 4-2 and analysis
Irish CupRound of 64Kick-off on November 22, 2025 at 01:30 PM (UTC)New Grosvenor Stadium, Ballyskeagh
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What was the result of Lisburn Distillery vs Finaghy?
Lisburn Distillery won 4-2 on November 22, 2025.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lisburn Distillery have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Finaghy have 1, 0 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2025 | Ballyclare Comrades(away) | 0-1 | Premier Intermediate League |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Moyola Park(home) | 1-2 | Premier Intermediate League |
| Oct 7, 2025 | Bangor(away) | 1-4 | League Cup |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Portstewart(home) | 0-1 | Premier Intermediate League |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Knockbreda(away) | 2-2 | Premier Intermediate League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2022 | Ballymoney United(away) | 0-2 | Irish Cup |
| Nov 5, 2022 | Lurgan Town(away) | 3-1 | Irish Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Lisburn Distillery score 1.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Finaghy score 1.5 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lisburn Distillery | 1.9 | 2.0 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Finaghy | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0 | 1/2 | 1/2 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy