Lithuania vs Malta: result 1-1 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification EuropeGroup Stage - 5Kick-off on September 4, 2025 at 04:00 PM (UTC)S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas, Kaunas
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What was the result of Lithuania vs Malta?
Lithuania and Malta drew 1-1 on September 4, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 83′A. SatarianoMalta
- 90′G. GineitisLithuania (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lithuania have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Malta have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 10, 2025 | Denmark(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies |
| Jun 7, 2025 | Malta(away) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Mar 24, 2025 | Finland(home) | 2-2 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Mar 21, 2025 | Poland(away) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Nov 18, 2024 | Kosovo(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 10, 2025 | Netherlands(away) | 0-8 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Jun 7, 2025 | Lithuania(home) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Mar 24, 2025 | Poland(away) | 0-2 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Mar 21, 2025 | Finland(home) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Nov 19, 2024 | Andorra(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Lithuania win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Malta win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2025 | Malta 0-0 Lithuania | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Oct 5, 2017 | Malta 1-1 Lithuania | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Oct 11, 2016 | Lithuania 2-0 Malta | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
How many goals should we expect?
Lithuania score 0.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Malta score 0.5 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lithuania | 0.7 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Malta | 0.5 | 1.9 | 6 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lithuania sit 5th in World Cup - Qualification Europe (3 points from 8 matches) and Malta sit 4th (5 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Malta | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 5 |
| 5 | Lithuania | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy