Netherlands vs Poland: result 1-1 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification EuropeGroup Stage - 5Kick-off on September 4, 2025 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Philips Stadion, Eindhoven
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What was the result of Netherlands vs Poland?
Netherlands and Poland drew 1-1 on September 4, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 28′D. DumfriesNetherlands
- 80′M. CashPoland
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Netherlands have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Poland have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 10, 2025 | Malta(home) | 8-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Jun 7, 2025 | Finland(away) | 2-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Spain(away) | 3-3 | UEFA Nations League |
| Mar 20, 2025 | Spain(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 19, 2024 | Bosnia & Herzegovina(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 10, 2025 | Finland(away) | 1-2 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Jun 6, 2025 | Moldova(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 24, 2025 | Malta(home) | 2-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Mar 21, 2025 | Lithuania(home) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Nov 18, 2024 | Scotland(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Netherlands win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Poland win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 16, 2024 | Poland 1-2 Netherlands | Euro Championship |
| Sep 22, 2022 | Poland 0-2 Netherlands | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 11, 2022 | Netherlands 2-2 Poland | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 18, 2020 | Poland 1-2 Netherlands | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 4, 2020 | Netherlands 1-0 Poland | UEFA Nations League |
Last archived meeting: Poland vs Netherlands on Jun 16, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Netherlands score 2.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Poland score 1.5 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands | 2.4 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Poland | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Netherlands sit 1st in World Cup - Qualification Europe (20 points from 8 matches) and Poland sit 2nd (17 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 4 | 20 |
| 2 | Poland | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 17 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy