Luxembourg vs Northern Ireland: result 1-3 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification EuropeGroup Stage - 5Kick-off on September 4, 2025 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Stade de Luxembourg, Lëtzebuerg (Luxembourg)
Full time
What was the result of Luxembourg vs Northern Ireland?
Northern Ireland won 1-3 on September 4, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 7′J. ReidNorthern Ireland
- 30′Aiman DardariLuxembourg
- 46′S. CharlesNorthern Ireland
- 69′J. DevennyNorthern Ireland
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luxembourg have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Northern Ireland have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 10, 2025 | Rep. Of Ireland(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 6, 2025 | Slovenia(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 25, 2025 | Switzerland(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Sweden(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Nov 18, 2024 | Northern Ireland(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 10, 2025 | Iceland(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 7, 2025 | Denmark(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
| Mar 25, 2025 | Sweden(away) | 1-5 | Friendlies |
| Mar 21, 2025 | Switzerland(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Nov 18, 2024 | Luxembourg(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Nations League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Luxembourg win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Northern Ireland win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2024 | Luxembourg 2-2 Northern Ireland | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 5, 2024 | Northern Ireland 2-0 Luxembourg | UEFA Nations League |
| Mar 25, 2022 | Luxembourg 1-3 Northern Ireland | Friendlies |
| Sep 5, 2019 | Northern Ireland 1-0 Luxembourg | Friendlies |
Last archived meeting: Luxembourg vs Northern Ireland on Nov 18, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Luxembourg score 0.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Northern Ireland score 1.5 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luxembourg | 0.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Northern Ireland | 1.5 | 1.1 | 8 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Luxembourg sit 4th in World Cup - Qualification Europe (0 points from 6 matches) and Northern Ireland sit 3rd (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Northern Ireland | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 9 |
| 4 | Luxembourg | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy