Lito vs Danubio: prediction and stats
Copa UruguayQuarter-finalsKick-off on November 9, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Danubio the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Lito. The most likely score is 1-1. If Danubio wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,175 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lito vs Danubio?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Lito (1,704) and Danubio (1,785).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lito vs Danubio
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lito
Not enough data to predict the Lito lineup.
Danubio
4-3-1-2- 77B. Tomatis
- 14Bautista Pereira
- 10M. Peralta
- 7E. Cabrera
- 16I. Rossi
- 5J. Millán
- 6L. Sosa
- 4M. Rinaldi
- 19M. Brasil
- 3G. Rodriguez
- 1M. Goicoechea
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 03:55 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, Lito have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat; Danubio have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | Wanderers(home) | 4-0 | Copa Uruguay |
| Oct 12, 2023 | SUD America(home) | 0-2 | Copa Uruguay |
| Sep 21, 2023 | Huracán Treinta y Tres(away) | 1-0 | Copa Uruguay |
| Aug 23, 2023 | Paso de la Arena(home) | 3-1 | Copa Uruguay |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Estudiantes del Plata(home) | 1-1 | Copa Uruguay |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Club Nacional(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Wanderers Durazno(away) | 3-0 | Copa Uruguay |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Deportivo Maldonado(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Central Espanol(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Central Espanol(away) | 6-0 | Copa Uruguay |
How many goals should we expect?
Lito score 1.8 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 5; Danubio score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lito | 1.8 | 0.8 | 2 | 2/5 | 2/5 |
| Danubio | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.
A question about Lito vs Danubio?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lito vs Danubio?
- The Footlab AI model makes Danubio the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Lito.
- Where and when is Lito vs Danubio played?
- Lito vs Danubio is played on November 9, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC), in the Copa Uruguay.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.