Danubio vs Liverpool Montevideo: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónClausura - 14Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo, Montevideo
The Footlab AI model makes Liverpool Montevideo the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Danubio. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,916 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Danubio vs Liverpool Montevideo?
Liverpool Montevideo starts as the favourite with a 154-point Elo edge (1,939 vs 1,785).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Danubio vs Liverpool Montevideo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Danubio
4-3-1-2- 77B. Tomatis
- 14Bautista Pereira
- 10M. Peralta
- 7E. Cabrera
- 16I. Rossi
- 5J. Millán
- 6L. Sosa
- 4M. Rinaldi
- 19M. Brasil
- 3G. Rodriguez
- 1M. Goicoechea
Liverpool Montevideo
3-4-1-2- 7F. Martínez
- 16Lucas Acosta Moreno
- 34K. Lewis
- 5N. Garayalde
- 6S. Milano
- 26T. Brizuela
- 27D. Romero
- 18A. Cayetano
- 3S. Strasorier
- 24R. Haller
- 1M. Bernatene
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 06:58 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Danubio have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Liverpool Montevideo have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Club Nacional(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Wanderers Durazno(away) | 3-0 | Copa Uruguay |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Deportivo Maldonado(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Central Espanol(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Central Espanol(away) | 6-0 | Copa Uruguay |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Juventud(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Club Nacional(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Cerro Largo(home) | 1-0 | Copa Uruguay |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Penarol(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Deportivo Maldonado(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Danubio wins, 2 draws, 1 Liverpool Montevideo win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Liverpool Montevideo 3-0 Danubio | Primera División |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Liverpool Montevideo 0-0 Danubio | Primera División - Clausura |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Danubio 1-1 Liverpool Montevideo | Primera División |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Danubio 1-0 Liverpool Montevideo | Primera División - Clausura |
| Jul 28, 2024 | Danubio 2-0 Liverpool Montevideo | Primera División |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Liverpool Montevideo 1-2 Danubio | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Liverpool Montevideo vs Danubio on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Danubio score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Liverpool Montevideo score 1.4 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danubio | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Liverpool Montevideo | 1.4 | 0.6 | 9 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Danubio sit 14th in Primera División (10 points from 13 matches) and Liverpool Montevideo sit 1st (30 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool Montevideo | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 30 |
| 14 | Danubio | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 10 |
A question about Danubio vs Liverpool Montevideo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Danubio vs Liverpool Montevideo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Liverpool Montevideo the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Danubio.
- Where and when is Danubio vs Liverpool Montevideo played?
- Danubio vs Liverpool Montevideo is played on November 15, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.