Match

Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud: prediction and stats

Copa UruguayQuarter-finalsKick-off on November 11, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Belvedere, Montevideo

Liverpool MontevideoJuventud

The Footlab AI model makes Liverpool Montevideo the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Juventud. The most likely score is 1-1. If Liverpool Montevideo wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,175 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud?

Liverpool Montevideo starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,939 vs 1,832).

51%27%22%
Liverpool Montevideo winDrawJuventud win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Liverpool Montevideo

3-4-1-2
  1. 7F. Martínez
  2. 16Lucas Acosta Moreno
  1. 34K. Lewis
  2. 5N. Garayalde
  3. 6S. Milano
  4. 26T. Brizuela
  5. 27D. Romero
  1. 18A. Cayetano
  2. 3S. Strasorier
  3. 24R. Haller
  1. 1M. Bernatene

Juventud

4-3-3
  1. 7A. Alaniz
  2. 80F. Mimbacas
  3. 20B. Arady
  1. 37R. Peralta
  2. 10B. Larregui
  3. 26G. Pereiro
  1. 24F. Barrandeguy
  2. 14L. Roldán
  3. 8K. Rolón
  4. 2P. Pernicone
  1. 1S. Sosa

Computed on November 9, 2026 at 03:55 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Liverpool Montevideo have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Juventud have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Liverpool Montevideo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Juventud(home)2-0Primera División
Oct 25, 2026Club Nacional(away)1-0Primera División
Oct 21, 2026Cerro Largo(home)1-0Copa Uruguay
Oct 18, 2026Penarol(home)1-0Primera División
Oct 9, 2026Deportivo Maldonado(away)1-1Primera División
Juventud
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Liverpool Montevideo(away)0-2Primera División
Oct 23, 2026Penarol(home)0-0Primera División
Oct 17, 2026Progreso(away)0-2Primera División
Oct 11, 2026Racing Montevideo(home)2-0Primera División
Oct 7, 2026Plaza Colonia(away)1-0Copa Uruguay

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Liverpool Montevideo wins, 2 draws, 2 Juventud wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Liverpool Montevideo 2-0 JuventudPrimera División
Apr 25, 2026Juventud 1-1 Liverpool MontevideoPrimera División
Nov 1, 2025Liverpool Montevideo 0-1 JuventudPrimera División - Clausura
May 4, 2025Juventud 1-0 Liverpool MontevideoPrimera División
Oct 20, 2019Juventud 0-0 Liverpool MontevideoPrimera División - Clausura
Mar 30, 2019Liverpool Montevideo 2-1 JuventudPrimera División

Last archived meeting: Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud on Nov 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Liverpool Montevideo score 1.4 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Juventud score 1.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Liverpool Montevideo1.40.695/155/15
Juventud1.10.793/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

A question about Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud?
The Footlab AI model makes Liverpool Montevideo the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Juventud.
Where and when is Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud played?
Liverpool Montevideo vs Juventud is played on November 11, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Belvedere, in the Copa Uruguay.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Liverpool Montevideo and Juventud

Ready to know everything about football?