Liverpool Montevideo vs Progreso: result 3-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 29, 2012 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Belvedere, Montevideo
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What was the result of Liverpool Montevideo vs Progreso?
Liverpool Montevideo won 3-1 on October 29, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 27′R. AguirreLiverpool Montevideo
- 70′P. MeloLiverpool Montevideo (pen.)
- 74′M. LombardiProgreso (pen.)
- 77′Álvaro Lucas Tamareo SosaLiverpool Montevideo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Liverpool Montevideo have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Progreso have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2012 | Club Nacional(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Oct 14, 2012 | Central Espanol(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 7, 2012 | Cerro Largo(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 3, 2012 | Bella Vista(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Sep 30, 2012 | CA River Plate(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2012 | Wanderers(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 13, 2012 | CA River Plate(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 7, 2012 | Fenix(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Sep 29, 2012 | Bella Vista(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Sep 23, 2012 | Defensor Sporting(home) | 1-4 | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Liverpool Montevideo score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Progreso score 1.2 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool Montevideo | 1.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Progreso | 1.2 | 1.5 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Liverpool Montevideo sit 9th in Primera División (20 points from 15 matches) and Progreso sit 15th (10 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool Montevideo | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9 |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 62 | 28 | 19 | 15 | 85 | 60 | 103 |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 9 |
| 6 | Liverpool Montevideo | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 34 | 23 | 38 |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 9 | Liverpool Montevideo | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 20 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 10 |
| 16 | Progreso | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Progreso | 61 | 14 | 13 | 34 | 56 | 97 | 55 |
| 16 | Progreso | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 37 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy