Danubio vs Cerro: result 1-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 27, 2012 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo, Montevideo
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What was the result of Danubio vs Cerro?
Danubio and Cerro drew 1-1 on October 27, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 20′G. PérezDanubio (pen.)
- 87′Simón Pagua MartínezCerro
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Danubio have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Cerro have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2012 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Oct 14, 2012 | El Tanque Sisley(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Oct 7, 2012 | Club Nacional(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Sep 30, 2012 | Penarol(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Sep 23, 2012 | Juventud(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2012 | Cerro Largo(home) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Oct 14, 2012 | Wanderers(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 6, 2012 | Racing Montevideo(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 29, 2012 | Club Nacional(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Sep 23, 2012 | Penarol(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Danubio win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Cerro win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2012 | Cerro 1-2 Danubio | Primera División - Clausura |
How many goals should we expect?
Danubio score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Cerro score 0.9 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danubio | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Cerro | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Danubio sit 11th in Primera División (18 points from 15 matches) and Cerro sit 16th (10 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cerro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 9 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 18 |
| 12 | Danubio | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 13 | Cerro | 62 | 19 | 15 | 28 | 50 | 81 | 71 |
| 14 | Cerro | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 39 | 25 |
| 15 | Danubio | 62 | 14 | 25 | 23 | 63 | 72 | 67 |
| 15 | Danubio | 25 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 22 | 31 | 24 |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy