Livyi Bereh vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Livyi Bereh, Kyiv
The Footlab model makes Metalist 1925 Kharkiv the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Livyi Bereh. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Livyi Bereh vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Livyi Bereh (1,788) and Metalist 1925 Kharkiv (1,856).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Livyi Bereh have 9 wins, 6 draws and 0 defeats; Metalist 1925 Kharkiv have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dnister Zalishchyky(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kryvbas KR(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kudrivka(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Obolon'-Brovar(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Polessya(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Livyi Bereh(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Veres Rivne(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 22, 2026 | FC Schalke 04(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Livyi Bereh win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | Livyi Bereh 2-1 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 1, 2025 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 1-0 Livyi Bereh | Premier League |
| May 29, 2025 | Livyi Bereh 0-1 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | Premier League |
| Jan 22, 2025 | Livyi Bereh 3-0 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2024 | Livyi Bereh 1-1 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Livyi Bereh vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv on Aug 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Livyi Bereh score 1.7 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Metalist 1925 Kharkiv score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Livyi Bereh | 1.7 | 0.5 | 9 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Livyi Bereh sit 12th in Premier League (2 points from 2 matches) and Metalist 1925 Kharkiv sit 9th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 12 | Livyi Bereh | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Livyi Bereh vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv?
- The Footlab model makes Metalist 1925 Kharkiv the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Livyi Bereh.
- Where and when is Livyi Bereh vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv played?
- Livyi Bereh vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv is played on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Livyi Bereh, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.